Macro
Will the Fed cut rates ≥ 50bps before Q4 2026?
Yes 68%No 32%
Yes · Price
68¢
- Volume
- $4.2M
- Resolves
- Sep 30
- Payout
- $1.00
Predictions
Trade on what happens next.
Binary markets settled in USDC. Prices reflect real probability - buy Yes or No, hold to expiry, or sell into the order book any time.
Open Volume
$84.2M
Across 320 markets
Avg Edge
6.4%
Top quartile traders
Resolved · 30d
1,142
Avg 18hr settlement
Liquidity
$12.8M
On-book now
High conf.
Crypto
Will BTC close above $80,000 by June 30, 2026?
Yes 42%No 58%
Yes · Price
42¢
- Volume
- $2.1M
- Resolves
- Jun 30
- Payout
- $1.00
Crypto
Will ETH ETF approvals cross 10 by year-end?
Yes 71%No 29%
Yes · Price
71¢
- Volume
- $1.8M
- Resolves
- Dec 31
- Payout
- $1.00
Sports
Will Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes 18%No 82%
Yes · Price
18¢
- Volume
- $840K
- Resolves
- Jun 24
- Payout
- $1.00
Politics
Will the EU pass MiCA Phase 2 before Q3?
Yes 56%No 44%
Yes · Price
56¢
- Volume
- $1.2M
- Resolves
- Sep 30
- Payout
- $1.00
Tech
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 in 2026?
Yes 34%No 66%
Yes · Price
34¢
- Volume
- $3.4M
- Resolves
- Dec 31
- Payout
- $1.00
Macro
Will US CPI print below 2.5% in May?
Yes 62%No 38%
Yes · Price
62¢
- Volume
- $910K
- Resolves
- May 14
- Payout
- $1.00
Crypto
Will SOL flip ETH market cap before 2027?
Yes 12%No 88%
Yes · Price
12¢
- Volume
- $640K
- Resolves
- Dec 31
- Payout
- $1.00
Sports
Will Real Madrid win the UCL 2026?
Yes 28%No 72%
Yes · Price
28¢
- Volume
- $420K
- Resolves
- May 30
- Payout
- $1.00